瑞銀首席經(jīng)濟學家王濤:五中全會強調(diào)發(fā)展仍是首要任務
- 發(fā)布時間:2015-11-04 19:28:00 來源:中國日報 責任編輯:羅伯特
A Chinese worker assembles a new energy car on the assembly line at an auto plant in Zouping county, East China's Shandong province, Dec 16, 2014. [Photo/IC]
The 5th Plenum and the proposals for the new Five-Year Plan (2016-20) stated that "development is still the number one priority" and called for maintaining "medium rapid" growth. Since it is officially estimated that doubling the 2010 GDP by 2020 requires a 6.5 percent annual average growth in the next five years, it is likely that the new plan will set a target around 6.5 percent.
To help achieve such an ambitious growth target against a challenging global and domestic environment, the government plans to promote innovation, upgrade manufacturing sector, increase R&D spending, rely more on Internet, modernize agriculture and integrate regional development. We expect the share of R&D spending in GDP to continue rising in the coming years, and business registration, a reflection of mass entrepreneurship, to increase as well.
The proposal recognized the importance to deepen economic reforms including in SOE, fiscal and financial areas. It also called for intensified "targeted" macro policy management while also announced full liberalization of goods and services prices in competitive sectors.
Consistent with the ongoing theme, the new five-year plan will target an increase in the consumption share of GDP, supported by policies to promote employment and wage growth, expand social welfare, and further develop the services sector. On the latter, lowering entry barriers and liberalizing services prices can help attract more private sector investment in related sectors. We expect the share of services in GDP to continue to rise beyond 50 percent in the next few years.
Go "green"
Green development is listed as a key development objective in the 13th Five-Year Plan for the first time. Along this line, the government had earlier already committed to cut 2020 CO2 emission intensity by 40-45 percent from the level in 2005, and the share of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption is set to increase from 11.4 percent in 2015 to 15 percent in 2020.
The proposal called for the establishment of distribution systems of the rights to use energy and resources, and for pollution and CO2 emission. It also plans to implement prevention and clean up programs for air, water and soil pollutions.
The new plan will likely finalize environmental tax legislation, expand resource tax reform, support for various "Green finance" channels, and provide incentives for environmental-friendly technologies and products.
Industries that are set to receive continued policy support from the new plan include new energy technology and application, new energy car, third-party environment protection services, new construction materials, and trading market of pollution rights "as.
熱圖一覽
- 股票名稱 最新價 漲跌幅
- 最嚴調(diào)控下滬深房價仍漲 人口老齡化影響三四線樓市
- 樂天大規(guī)模退出中國市場 供應商趕赴北京總部催款
- 北京16家銀行上調(diào)首套房貸利率 封殺“過道學區(qū)房”
- 10萬輛共享單車僅50人管遭質(zhì)疑 摩拜ofo優(yōu)勢變劣勢
- 去年聯(lián)通、電信凈利潤均下滑 用戶爭奪漸趨白熱化
- 奧迪否認“官民不等價”:優(yōu)惠政策并非只針對公務員
- 季末銀行考核在即 一日風云難改“錢緊錢貴”現(xiàn)狀
- 美圖7小時暴跌四成 虧損業(yè)績?nèi)绾沃?00億市值受拷問
- 監(jiān)管重壓下P2P退出平臺增加 網(wǎng)貸行業(yè)進入冷靜期
- 配資炒股虧損逾百萬 股民將信托公司告上法庭