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機(jī)構(gòu)：油價(jià)未來(lái)十年料維持在60美元

發(fā)布時(shí)間：2014-12-10 13:46:00 來(lái)源：中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)網(wǎng) 作者：佚名責(zé)任編輯：曹慧敏

　　研究機(jī)構(gòu)凱投宏觀(CapitalEconomics)周二(12月9日)表示，布倫特原油價(jià)格在未來(lái)10年的大部分時(shí)間里有可能徘徊在60美元/桶左右，因新科技不斷使頁(yè)巖油開(kāi)發(fā)成本降低，且來(lái)自伊朗、伊拉克和墨西哥原油供應(yīng)上升。

　　凱投宏觀的杰斯奧(JulianJessop)認(rèn)為，原油價(jià)格長(zhǎng)時(shí)間維持在較低水平應(yīng)對(duì)全球整體經(jīng)濟(jì)有利，包括以中國(guó)和印度為首的主要新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體;且把發(fā)展機(jī)會(huì)大量的從原油生產(chǎn)國(guó)轉(zhuǎn)移至原油消費(fèi)國(guó)。

　　杰斯奧指出，原油價(jià)格長(zhǎng)時(shí)間維持在低水平還將使原油消費(fèi)國(guó)保持低通脹，并提高這些國(guó)家的經(jīng)常賬戶盈余，不過(guò)代價(jià)是損害原油生產(chǎn)國(guó)的利益，如俄羅斯。

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